The set-up: Houston roared back to beat Toronto 7-6 at home last night and I think it'll carry that momentum over here. Tampa Bay had the night off on Wednesday. The visitors go with Lance McCullers on the mound this evening, while the home side goes with Ryne Stanek.

The pitchers: McCullers is so far 8-3 with a 3.82 ERA. He most recently allowed three runs off four hits and two walks while striking out nine over six innings in a no-decision to Kansas City. Over his last 31 frames of work McCullers has posted a strong 3.48 ERA and 31/11 K:BB.

Stanek is so far 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA. Stanek is only expected to see an inning or two, before making way for Ryan Yarbrough. He's been good in his limited action, but clearly the book is still out on his overall performance to this point.

The pick: While Tampa has looked better overall of late, it's still just 22-28 against teams with winning records this year. Houston continues to impress and it'll look to take advantage of this favorable matchup on the mound as it comes in having gone 25-9 this season against clubs with losing records. Here's a great opportunity for McCullers. No upset here, lay the price.