The set-up: A couple of decent hurlers go head-to-head at Wrigley on Friday afternoon, but I think that Mike Montgomery will take advantage of familiar surroundings and find a way to get the job done in "Friendly Confines." The Reds go with Tyler Mahle.

The pitchers: Mahle is so far 6-6 with a 3.83 ERA so far this season. Most recently he gave up three runs off six hits and three walks over 5.2 innings in a no-decision to the Brewers on Saturday. Mahle has been solid overall this season, I simply feel though that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one.

Montgomery is so far 3-2 with a 3.55 ERA. Most recently he gave up five runs off seven hits over five innings while also striking out five in a fortunate victory over Minnesota on Friday. Montgomery was staked to an early lead and then he'd go after the strike zone, which led to the elevated score. Montgomery though has to be feeling confident about a bounce back here as he's already 3-1 with a 3.49 ERA in all "day" games this season.

The pick: Mahle has looked decent of late, but I think he stumbles here in this difficult venue. Montgomery on the other hand will be looking to improve after his latest sub-par effort and I think he'll indeed answer the call. Lay the price.