The set-up: Masahiro Tanaka has struggled at times this year and I think he's going to have his hands full in this difficult venue on Sunday afternoon. Trevor Bauer though is putting together his strongest campaign ever and I think he has a major advantage in friendly confines.

The pitchers: Tanaka is so far 7-2 with a 4.68 ERA. Tanaka returns from the DL to make this start, his first since June 8th. He looked decent in one re-hab outing, but note that he still owns the sub-par 5.01 ERA on the road this season.

Bauer is so far 8-6 with a 2.23 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs off seven hits with a walk and eight strikeouts over eight innings in a victory over the Royals on Wednesday. Over his last six outings he's struck out 59 batters and posted a 1.87 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Note that Bauer is 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA at home so far this year.

The pick: Tanaka got back on track after a shaky start before hitting the DL, but clearly he draws a tough task/opponent right out of the gate. Bauer on the other hand has been "on point" from Day 1 this year and he has in fact been getting stronger as the season has worn on. I like Bauer to continue that progression and overall I believe this is a great price. Play on Cleveland.