The set-up: Carlos Rodon hasn't been completely terrible this year, but I still think he's in over his head in this matchup. The home side goes with Felix Pena in this one.

The pitchers: Rodon is so far 2-3 with a 3.56 ERA. In his final start before the All Star game he'd allow zero runs over 7.1 innings in a win over St. Louis. As I stated off the top, Rodon has been decent this season, but note that he's been horrible on the road with an 0-3, 5.16 ERA record.

Pena is so far 1-0 with a 3.42 ERA. In his final start before the break he'd given up one earned run off three hits over four innings in a no-decision to the Dodgers. Over 26.1 innings he's posted a respectable 1.33 WHIP.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Chicago is just 22-55 (-22.2 units) the last three season as a road underdog in the +125 to +175 range, while LA is 47-30 (+4.4 units) as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. I look for Pena to outduel Rodon and for the Angels to take advantage of this favorable matchup. Lay the price.