The set-up: Nate Eovaldi started his 2018 campaign on fire for the Rays, but he'd predictably come back down to Earth quite quickly. I expect Luis Cessa and the hard-hitting visiting side to take advantage of this favorable matchup.

The pitchers: Cessa is so far 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA this year. He's been called up to the big team after the recent demotion of Domingo German. Cessa comes in sporting serviceable numbers over 82.1 innings, including a 4.37 ERA and 61 strikeouts.

Eovaldi is so far 3-4 with a 4.26 ERA. He looked good in his first start after the break, allowing one run over six innings in a no-decision to the Marlins. In his final start before the break though he'd be shelled for eight runs over 2.2 innings against Minnesota.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but New York is interestingly 7-2 in its last nine in all day road games in which it's a favorite in the -125 to -150 range, while Tampa Bay is just 5-6 in its last 11 day home games in which it's a dog in the +125 to +150 range. Look for Cessa to at the very least match Eovaldi's effort and for the Yanks' big bats to take care of the rest. Lay the price.