The set-up: Neither starter has been fantastic, but one has been consistently better than the other. And I believe that trend carries over into their head-to-head matchup. The visitors go with Joe Flaherty, while the home side goes with Sal Romano.

The pitchers: Flaherty is so far 4-4 with a 3.15 ERA. He was "on point" in his first start back from the break, giving up one run off two hits with nine strikeouts over five innings in what turned out be an 18-5 laugher over the Cubs on Friday. Note that he's a highly respectable 3-0 with a tiny 2.08 ERA in all "day" games this year as well.

Romano is so far 5-8 with a 5.19 ERA. Over 20 appearances he's posted an uninspiring 5.19 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Note that he's also just 4-4 with a 4.98 ERA at home and only 1-2 with a 4.76 ERA in all "day" games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis is 8-4 (+2.8 units) this season as a road favorite in the -125 to -175 range, while Cincinnati is just 15-20 (-5.1 units) at home when the money line in the contest is set between +125 and -125 this year. The price is right, play on the Cards.