The set-up: Red Sox' starter David Price has been better than Orioles' starter Dylan Bundy this year. Boston has been a lot better than Baltimore overall this season as well and in my opinion, there will be no upsets once the final pitch is thrown in this one.

The pitchers: Price is so far 11-6 with a 4.17 ERA. He most recently went 6.1 scoreless while striking out five in a win over Detroit on Friday. Price looked focused and rested and I think he carries that momentum over here. Note that he's 8-4 with a 4.10 ERA in all "night" games this season.

Bundy is so far 6-9 with a 4.57 ERA. He most recently was shelled for five runs off five hits over five innings in a no-decision to Toronto on Friday. Bundy has now allowed five earned runs in each of his last three trips to the hill, while posting a horrible 8:6 K/BB spanning 12.1 innings. Note that he's just 3-5 with a 4.89 ERA at home this year.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is 55-20 (+24.7 units) against right-handed starters this season, while Baltimore is just 13-22 (-6.4 units) against southpaws. Expect Price to easily outduel his erratic counterpart, play on the Red Sox.