The set-up: Two hungry veterans square off in this National League matchup on Friday night and in my opinion, the home side has the advantage. The Brewers send Chase Anderson to the hill, while the Giants go with Madison Bumgarner.

The pitchers: Anderson is so far 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs off six hits with two walks over four innings while striking out six in a no-decision to the Dodgers on Saturday. Note that he would labor by throwing 104 pitches over the four innings.

Bumgarner is so far 3-3 with a 3.19 ERA. He most recently allowed three runs off two hits with five strikeouts over four innings in a no-decision to the A's on Saturday. It was his shortest outing of the 2018 campaign, so I'm not reading too much into one shaky performance. Note as well that Bumgarner is a "lights out" 3-1 with a 1.95 ERA at home so far this year.

The pick: Milwaukee is 58-46 overall, but just 25-26 on the road. San Francisco is 52-51 overall, but a much better 31-19 (+9.8 unit) in all home games. I'm banking on Bumgarner bouncing back and for Anderson to take a step back. Lay the price, play on the Giants.