The set-up: This series features a couple of big mismatches on the mound and this is definitely one of them. The visitors go with Gio Gonzalez, while the home side goes with Trevor Richards.

The pitchers: Gonzalez is so far 6-7 with a 3.94 ERA. He comes in off a poor outing against the Brewers on Monday, allowing five earned runs off six hits over six innings in the eventual setback. Gonzalez has struggled a bit of late, but I still believe he'll have more than enough to get the better of his counterpart tonight.

Richards is so far 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA. He most recently gave up one run over 6.2 innings in a no-decision against the Rays on Sunday. While he's looked decent over the last two weeks, I'll preach caution, as note that he still owns a poor 1.46 WHIP and pedestrian 63:32 K/BB over 69.1 frames of work.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington is 42-28 in its last 70 as a road favorite in the -125 to -175 range, while Miami is just 18-31 in its last 49 as a home underdog in the +125 to +175 range. I'm banking on the hard-hitting visiting side taking advantage of this favorable matchup. Lay the price.