The set-up: Felix Hernandez has looked brilliant at times this season for the Mariners and very poor in others. Jaime Barria is coming off a difficult outing, but for the most part the rookie has been solid, especially at home. I like the home side in this one.

The pitchers: Hernandez is so far 8-8 with a 5.14 ERA. He most recently allowed four runs off five hits with two walks over five innings in a loss to the White Sox on Saturday. While he does own a 4-3 record on the road, note that his ERA elevates to an unsightly 6.65 away from friendly confines.

Barria is so far 5-7 with a 3.80 ERA. Barria most recently allowed four runs over five innings in a loss to the White Sox on Monday. Barria has struggled over the last month, but note that he has to be feeling pretty confident in this spot, having already posted a very respectable 3.01 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: Seattle has been a great story this year, but I think Hernandez's struggles on the road once again come back to haunt him here. Barria is the correct call, so lay the price.