The set-up: This series features a couple of interesting match-ups on the mound and this is definitely one of them in my opinion. For a number of different reasons however, I think this one favors the home side. The Giants go with Derek Holland, while the Diamondbacks go with Robbie Ray.

The pitchers: Holland is so far 5-8 with a 3.90 ERA. He most recently gave up two earned runs off four hits with two walks while striking out five over five innings against San Diego on Monday. Holland has been better than advertised so far for San Francisco this season, but note that he's still a pedestrian 3-5 with a 4.01 ERA on the road.

Ray is so far 3-2 with a 5.05 ERA. He most recently gave up four runs off two hits and four walks while striking out six over 5.1 innings in no-decision to the Rangers on Monday. Ray's ERA is nothing to write home about, but he sports a respectable 1.29 WHIP and 87 strikeouts over 66 frames of work to this point.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Francisco is just 3-7 in its last ten day games as a road underdog in the -125 to -175 range. I like Ray to get back on track in front of the home town crowd and for the hard-hitting Diamondbacks to provide the support. Lay the price.