The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided mis-matches on the mound and this is one of them. The visitors hand the ball to the steady Mike Clevinger, while the home side goes with the erratic Homer Bailey.

The pitchers: Clevinger is so far 7-7 with a 3.38 ERA. He most recently allowed three runs off five hits while striking out six over six innings in a no-decision to the Angels on Friday. Clevinger comes into this one with the sharp 3.48 ERA to go along with a respectable 1.22 WHIP and 139 strikeouts over 139.2 frames of work (note that Clevinger has an elite 2.69 ERA on the road as well this season.)

Bailey is so far 1-9 with a 6.19 ERA. He most recently was shelled for five runs off 11 hits over 3.1 innings in a loss to the Mets on Monday. Bailey has been a disaster so far this year and to go along with his atrocious ERA, he also sports a brutal 1.59 WHIP and a poor 54 strikeouts over 80 frames of work.

The pick: And note that Bailey has consistently been at his worst at home with an 0-5, 6.44 ERA record to this point in front of the home town crowd. I'm expecting Clevinger to carry over his consistent play on the road and I look for the Indians' big bats to take full advantage of this favorable matchup. Lay the price.