The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided mis-matches on the mound and this is one of them. Jon Lester and the Cubs are well worth the price of admission in this match-up in my opinion. The home side sends Francisco Liriano to the hill.

The pitchers: Lester is so far 13-5 with a 3.72 ERA. After a great start, Lester has come back down to Earth over the last month. But the veteran has to be feeling confident facing the tooth-less Tigers, as note that he is a superb 8-2 with a 3.08 ERA on the road.

Liriano is so far 3-8 with a 4.72 ERA. Liriano comes in off back-to-back poor outings and he continues to regress as the season wares on. Note that he's been really bad at home with a 5.43 ERA also.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is a terrible 2-8 in its last ten home night games in which it's an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. I like Lester to get back on track and easily out-duel Liriano. Play on Chicago.