The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided mis-matches on the mound and this is no doubt one of them. In fact I feel that the talent-gap is so large between these starters, that I have no issues at all in laying this larger price. The visitors hand the ball to Alex Cobb, while the home side goes with Wade LeBlanc.

The pitchers: Cobb is so far 4-15 with a 5.11 ERA. He most recently gave up five runs off eight hits with two walks over five innings in a no-decision to Toronto on Wednesday. Seven of the eight hits he gave up were for extra bases. Note that he's just 4-8 with a 5.22 ERA on the road this year.

LeBlanc is so far 8-3 with a 3.71 ERA. He most recently went seven scoreless in a victory over the A's on Thursday. LeBlanc hasn't been perfect this year, but he's been sharp at home with a 6-2, 3.75 ERA record.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but note that Seattle is 8-3 in its last 11 night home games in which it's a favorite in the -175 to -250 range. Look for Cobb to implode early and for LeBlanc to take take advantage. Lay the price.