The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided mis-matches on the mound and this is no doubt one of them. I think that the Jack Flaherty and the hard-hitting Cards are well worth the price of admission in this spot. The home side sends Matt Boyd to the hill to counter.

The pitchers: Flaherty is so far 8-6 with a 2.83 ERA. He most recently gave up one run off three hits while striking out five in a no-decision to Washington on Monday. Overall Flaherty has been solid this year, in fact he appears to be getting stronger as the season comes to a close. Note that he's a very respectable 4-3 with a 2.79 ERA on the road.

Boyd is so far 9-12 with a 4.24 ERA. After a great start against the White Sox, Boyd took a step back in his last outing against the Royals. Boyd's been better at home than on the road this season, but note that he still comes in sporting a poor 4-9, 5.07 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine inter-league night contests in which it's a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. I like Flaherty to continue his progression and to easily out duel the "on again, off again" Boyd. Lay the price.