The set-up: This is an important early season divisional match-up. Both teams enter off high-scoring Week 1 victories, but on the short turn-around on Thursday night I'm expecting more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout."

The teams: Baltimore opened the season with a 47-3 destruction of the Bills. The Ravens' starters were rested for a great deal of the Week 1 blowout, including Joe Flacco, who was 25 of 34 for 236 yards and three TD's. The Ravens' defense was downright dominant though, holding the Bills to only 83 rushing yards and 70 passing yards.

Cincinnati opened the year with a come-from-behind 34-23 road victory over the Colts. QB Andy Dalton was 21 of 28 for 243 yards, two TD's and an interception. Last year the Bengals finished last in the NFL with only 280.5 yards of offense per game, so clearly this Week 1 victory was a step in the right direction. However, Dalton and company, especially WR AJ Green, have struggled against the Ravens' ferocious defensive attack in the past and I think that's going to be the case again here tonight also.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Baltimore has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 against the division, while Cincinnati has seen the total go "under" in ten of its last 16 as an underdog. This number is high, play the "under."