The set-up: This series features a couple of competitive match-ups on the mound, but this isn't one of those. I think the Cards have the distinct advantage on the hill tonight. The visitors go with Joe Flaherty, while the home side sends Touki Toussaint to the bump.

The pitchers: Flaherty is so far 8-7 with a 2.86 ERA. He comes in off a hard-luck loss against the Dodgers on Friday, giving up one earned run off four hits while striking out eight over six innings. Flaherty has not given up more than three earned runs in an outing since late July. Note that he's 4-1 with a 2.14 ERA in all "day" games as well.

Toussaint is 1-1 with a 4.67 ERA. He was moved to the bullpen last week after three straight lacklustre starts to open his career, but he's back in the rotation out of necessity. Note that Toussaint has as many walks as he does K's so far this season.

The pick: I love Flaherty in this spot. He was the victim of poor run support in his last outing, but that's not going to be a problem here in my estimation facing the shaky Toussaint. Lay the price, play on St. Louis.