The set-up: This series features a couple of competitive match-ups on the mound and there's no doubt that this is one of them. In my opinion, runs will be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, while the home side goes with Masahiro Tanaka.

The pitchers: Rodriguez is so far 12-4 with a 3.53 ERA. He hasn't been perfect this year, but overall the right-hander is enjoying the best overall campaign of his career. Rodriguez has to be feeling confident in this spot as well as note that he's 6-1 with a 3.20 ERA on the road this season.

Tanaka is so far 12-5 with a 3.47 ERA. He most recently comes in off back-to-back strong outings. Tanka is 7-0 on the road and only 5-5 at home, but he owns a 3.56 ERA in friendly confines and there's no reason not to think the Asian hurler won't bring his "A" game here as well.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 13 American League home games in which the line in the contest is set between -150 and +150. This number is high, play the "under."