The set-up: These veteran starters have looked brilliant at times this season and very poor in others. I think they're going to "get the hook early" here though and because of that I expect this total to sneak "over" before it's all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Jhoulys Chacin, while the home side goes with Ivan Nova.

The pitchers: Chacin is so far 14-8 with a 3.54 ERA. He's been solid across the board, although he does sport a pedestrian 4.01 ERA in all "night" games.

Nova is so far 9-9 with a 4.07 ERA. He most recently gave up one run off four hits over six innings in a win over these very Brewers on Saturday. Nova's been better over the last month, but note that he's still a terrible 3-7 with a 5.12 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: These veterans have admittedly been decent of late, but I'll caution by pointing that out that the Pirates have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last nine National League night home games in which the line in the contest is set between -135 and +135. This number is a little low, play the "over."