The set-up: This series features a couple of interesting match-ups on the mound, and there's no doubt that this is one of them. That said, I do definitely think that Mike Montgomery and the hard-hitting home side are well worth the price of admission in this spot. The visitors go with the erratic Chris Archer.

The pitchers: Archer is so far 5-8 with a 4.49 ERA. He comes in off a decent start against the lowly Royals, but overall he's been poor for his new club with a 5.19 ERA. Archer has been especially pedestrian on the road as well with a 4-6, 4.91 ERA.

Montgomery is so far 5-5 with a 3.75 ERA. The southpaw looks to close out the season strong in front of the home town crowd, note that he owns a sharp 3.12 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Pirates are just 2-7 in their last nine National League road night games in which they're an underdog in the +125 to +200 range. Lay the price and expect a rout.