The set-up: Neither of these starters has looked great this season. Each came in with a ton of promise, but each has struggled with consistency. That said, I absolutely feel that Jake Odorizzi and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this match-up. The visitors hand the ball to Matt Boyd.

The pitchers: Boyd is so far 9-12 with a 4.16 ERA. Boyd has admittedly been decent of late, but overall the southpaw has been consistently inconsistent (especially on the road where he's just 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA).

Odorizzi is so far 7-10 with a 4.35 ERA. He comes in off a strong outing against the Yanks on Wednesday and he has to be feeling confident here, sporting a respectable 1.33 WHP and 154:63 K/BB over 153.2 innings of work.

The pick: Odorizzi is 5-4 with a 4.10 ERA at home and take it for what you will as well, but the Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 American League night home games in which they are a favorite in the -125 to -200 range. Lay the price, play on the Twins.