The set-up: This series features a couple of competitive match-ups on the mound and there's no doubt that this is one of them. I think runs will be at a premium in this one. The visitors hand the ball to Trevor Williams, while the home side goes with Jon Lester.

The pitchers: Williams is so far 14-9 with a 3.04 ERA. He comes in off consecutive strong outings against the hard-hitting Brewers and he's now given up two or fewer runs in 11 of his last 12 trips to the hill. Note as well that he's 6-3 with a 3.18 ERA on the road.

Lester is so far 17-6 with a 3.44 ERA. He comes in off a strong outing against the Reds on Saturday and he'll now look to close out the season on a high note. Note that he's 8-4 with a 2.92 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Chicago has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine National League night home games in which the line in the game is set between -150 and +150. This number is high, play the "under."