The set-up: I think Cal comes in a tiny bit complacent here after three straight victories over UNC, BYU and Idaho State. Oregon on the other hand is looking to bounce back after falling 38-31 in OT at home to Stanford this past weekend.

The teams: The Ducks led 31-28 with 51 second last week, but they weren't able to hold on for the victory. It was an unfortunate series of events that led to the setback, but with that awkwardness out of the way, I'm expecting a return to form here.

Cal has so far looked pretty good defensively in not allowing more than 23 points in any game this year, but clearly it faces its stiffest test yet in Oregon's high-flying offense.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Oregon if 4-2 ATS i its last six off a loss against a conference rival, while Cal is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 against teams with winning records. Lay the points.