The set-up: The Flyers have a tough game at home against the Sharks on Tuesday night and I think they're going to falter in this difficult road venue North of the border. The achilles heels of the Flyers has been their play on the road the last few seasons, which doesn't bode well in my estimation facing this hungry and talented Senators team at home. The Sens fell 4-3 in OT at home on Opening Night to the Blackhawks, before then bouncing back with a convincing 5-3 win in Toronto two nights later. Ottawa wasn't able to keep the momentum rolling though in a 6-3 setback in Boston on Sunday. With a night off to prepare and focus on a lengthy home stand, I think the home side will definitely step up the pressure here in this favorable situation.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa is 7-2 in its last nine home games as a favorite in the -105 to -150 range. Play on the Senators.