The set-up: Both teams comes in off losses. I think BC rallies at home though, while I expect Louisville to take another step back in this difficult road venue.

The teams: The Cardinals were destroyed 66-31 by Georgia Tech at home last weekend. Louisville looks completely inept defensively, especially against the run, allowing 542 yards and eight TD's on the ground last Saturday. Five different GT players would post a rushing TD.

BC fought tooth and nail at undefeated North Carolina State last weekend, but it wasn't enough in the eventual 28-23 setback. The Eagles haven't lost at home yet this year though. RB AJ Dillon didn't play last weekend, but he's expected back in the line-up here to test this atrocious Louisville front line.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but BC is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with losing records, while Louisville is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten following a loss and only 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. The Eagles are averaging a whopping 223 yards on the ground this year, a number which will increase dramatically after this contest. Lay the points.