Rogers' Saturday Night ESPN2 WINNER >> 6-1 Last Saturday in NCAAF!
(NCAAF) Miami-FL vs. Virginia,
Point Spread: 7.00 | -115.00 Virginia (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: Miami needed a dramatic come-from-behind win to knock off FSU last weekend, a victory which extended a five-game unbeaten streak. Can anyone say "letdown/trap" spot for the Hurricanes? Virginia has had a week off to absorb a two TD loss to high-powered NC State and I look for it come keep this one competitive throughout.

The teams: The Hurricanes won last week, but the offense took a blow with the news that WR Ahmmon Richards suffered a neck injury which end his career. Miami is getting unreal play through all three phases, but I think it comes in complacent and distracted this weekend.

Virginia's issues are on the offensive side of the ball, especially with the run. But the combination of QB Bryce Perkins (who is himself a dual threat) and RB Jordan Ellis remains a formidable pairing.

The pick: NC State has been an absolute wrecking ball this year, so I'm not judging the Cavs completely on that one performance. As stated off the top, with a week off to prepare, I believe Virginia can in fact keep this one close against a Hurricanes team which comes in tired and distracted. Take it for what you will as well, but Miami is just 7-11 ATS in its last 18 after plaint a conference game and only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records, while Virginia is 2-1 ATS in its last three when playing with two or more weeks of rest. Grab the points.