The set-up: The Chiefs have started 5-0, but the Pats come in off back-to-back victories and hungry for more after a lacklustre start. New England's success in the past has had a lot to do with earning the first round bye in the playoffs and if it falls to the Chiefs here, it's going to have to essentially "run the table" to duplicate that feat against this season.

The teams: Patrick Mahomes had 313 yards and an INT in last week's win over Jacksonville. The Chiefs' young QB has so far answered every challenge to this point, but he'll face his most difficult task to date. The Chiefs haven't been great defensively this season, but so far they haven't had to be. However, holding Bortles and the Jags to just 20 points last weekend was a big step in the right direction for the unit.

New England comes in having won ten straight home games, but the Patriots still won't want to turn this one into a "track meet" with the high-octane Chiefs. Look for Tom Brady to "control" this one while on offense.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but KC has seen the total go "under" the number in 11 of its last 16 when the total in the contest is set between +3 and -3, while New England has seen the total go "under" in its last four as a home favorite of three points or less. This number is a little high, play the "under."