The set-up: This is a great "situational" play in my opinion. After their big win at home over the Warriors, the Nuggets are now 3-0 SU/ATS to start the year. But with a date against LeBron James and the Lakers on Wednesday night, there's no doubt that this sets up as a classic "trap" for red hot Denver. And that's good news for Sacramento, which is just 1-2 overall, but it's been competitive in each game and it does enter off the convincing 131-120 road victory over Thunder, who had Russell Westbrook in the line-up.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 130 points or more in its previous outing. I'm grabbing the points.