The set-up: No need to overthink this one as I believe this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Avs, who enter at 6-1-1-1 overall and who just went 4-1 on a current road trip. With lowly Ottawa coming to town next, there's no question that this sets up as a "trap" game for Colorado. After a tough 5-4 OT loss in Minnesota, Tampa bounced back with a 6-3 win at Chicago on Monday. But with a game in Vegas on Friday night, I expect the Lightning to take full advantage of this favorable spot.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Avs are just 2-7 in their last nine home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. Play on the Lightning.