The set-up: Both teams come in highly motivated. I think this sense of intensity and competition will lead to a lower-scoring affair. UL Lafayette is out to break a three-way tie for fifth place in the Sun Belt, while Little Rock is out to avenge a loss in the reverse fixture. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well as more of a lower-scoring defensive war.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but UL Lafayette has seen the total go "under" the number in both games it's played in this season off a home loss vs. a conference rival, while Little Rock has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. This number is high, play the "under."

9* play