The set-up: Texas Arlington is off a 67-58 win over Georgia Southern, while Georgia State won 59-46 over Texas State to advance. The Panthers won both regular season meetings over the Mavericks. Each team comes in off a lower-scoring victory and I'm expecting a similar battle here as well. The Mavericks held the Eagles to just 36.7 percent shooting last tie out. UTA needed its defense to step up though, as the offense connected on just 39.7 percent of its chances in the victory. Overall UTA has averaged 69.4 PPG and allowed 69.7. Georgia State averages 77.2 PG and it allows 73.2. During league play though the Panthers have averaged 76.5 PPG and they allow 72.4.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UTA has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine after allowing 60 points or less in its previous game, while Georgia State has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after allowing 48 points or less in its previous outing. This number is high, play the "under."

10* play