The set-up: I think the "under" is worth a second look in this one. The Wild are off a 3-1 home loss to Colorado, while the Capitals are off a 5-4 OT loss to Tampa at home. The Wild are in a dog fight with the Avs for the final playoff spot in the West, so their latest setback was clearly a poor one. The Wild come in desperate here in fact as they've lost five of their last six (and it's been their offense to blame, posting only 11 total goals over its last six games.) Minnesota is 19-17 on the road, averaging 2.78 goals and allowing 2.81 in those contests. The Capitals are 21-15 at home. averaging 3.53 goals and allowing 2.86.

The pick: Minnesota goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 17-13 with a 2.51 GAA on the road, while Washington net minder Braden Holtby is 14-12 with a 2.80 GAA at home. Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of eight this year after playing three straight home games, while Washington has seen the total go "under" in six of its last eight home games following an OT loss in which it allowed five or more goals in. Consider the "under" in this one.