The set-up: It's the No. 12 seed Liberty Flames vs. the No. 4 seed VT Hokies in the second round. Suffice it to say, I expect the Flames to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Liberty went 14-2 in league play and won the A-Sun regular season and conference tournament. The Flames stunned Mississippi State in the first round. Liberty averages 111.5 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 99.9 points per 100 possessions. VT beat St. Louis 66-52 for its first NCAA Tournament win since 2007. The Hokies average 118.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 109.5 points per 100 possessions.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but VT is just 2-3 ATS this year vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Liberty is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after playing a game as an underdog. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

6* play