The set-up: Off a satisfying 5-2 home win over the Flyers, I think the Hurricanes stumble in this difficult road venue. The Penguins on the other hand will be eager to get back on track after a 3-1 home loss to Nashville. Carolina comes in on no rest and while it's been sharp in those situations this season, I think it finally catches up to it here. Overall the Hurricanes average 2.84 goals and allow 2.84 as well when on the road this season. Pittsburgh hasn't clinched a playoff spot either, but it'll close to doing so with a win today. Overall the Penguins average 3.29 goals and concede 3.13 at home.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Carolina is still just 10-14 (-9.1 units) vs. division opponents this year, while Pittsburgh is 41-22 (+10.9 units) in its last 63 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. Lay it.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10* play