The set-up: Seattle swept the A's in a two game mini series in Japan to open the 2019 season and then it just went 3-1 vs. the Red Sox. Seattle is getting timely pitching, along with a line-up which is hitting the ball like it's the middle of the season. Overall I think we're getting great value on the home side here.

The pitchers: LA turns to Chris Stratton, who comes over in the off-season from San Francisco. Stratton was 10-10 with a 5.09 ERA for the Giants in 2018.

Seattle veteran Felix Hernandez has clearly seen better days. He's coming off a shaky spring and he's been named the No. 5 starter. It's a make or break campaign for The King and while the odds are against him, it's not unheard of for senior pitchers to make adjustments and come back with stellar performances. Also note that he's 16-18 with a 3.58 ERA in 53 starts vs. LA.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is still just 38-47 (-8.7 units) on the road where the money line is between +125 to -125, while Seattle is 46-32 (+5.5 units) in its last 78 at home with a money line between -100 to -150. Great price on the home side here.

Seattle Mariners

9* play