The set-up: Baltimore won two of three in New York to open the season and it's so far taken the first two games of this series. The Jays play with desperation here and I also think they have the advantage on the mound. When you add it all up, it makes this a price which I have no issues at all in laying.

The pitchers: Baltimore turns to Nate Karns (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who has worked as a starter for most of his five years in the big leagues, but who was originally slated to start out of the bullpen this season. Karns is in the rotation out of necessity. He looked decent vs. the Yanks on opening day, allowing one hit and no run on 33 pitches.

The Jays counter with Matt Shoemaker (1-0, 0.00) who was impressive in his first start, going seven scoreless for a win over the Tigers. In four career starts vs. the Orioles he's 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA.

The pick: While the Jays have yet to impress at the plate in this series, I think Shoemaker will easily out duel his still untested counterpart. Lay the price.

Toronto Blue Jays

10* play