The set-up: I'm laying the price for the extra run-and-a-half. This is the opener of a four-game series. Cleveland is hitting just .160 collectively right now and it's struck out 58 times. In a game which I believe will be decided late or even in extra frames, I like the run-line tonight.

The pitchers: The Jays go with Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who struck out six and five scoreless innings, giving up just three and three walks in a victory over Detroit on Saturday. After struggling the last two years with injury, Sanchez worked through a good Spring and it would appear as if he's ready to handle a full work load this season.

The Indians counter with Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29) who gave up one run and one walk over seven innings in a win over the Twins on Saturday, striking out nine and unfortunate to earn a no-decision for his effort (a victim of poor run support.)

The pick: The Jays come in off the 5-3 home win over Baltimore. Look for them to carry that momentum over.

Toronto Blue Jays +1.5

9* play