The set-up: The Reds are 1-8 to open the year, and the Marlins are 3-7. Two decent pitchers go head-to-head in this one, but I think these teams will easily combine to push this total over the total once it's all said and done.

The pitchers: The Fish go with Jose Urena (0-2, 10.38 ERA) who gave up five earned runs off seven hits and one walk over four innings in a loss to the Mets on Tuesday. Over 8.2 innings of work Urena has given up ten earned runs so far this year.

The home side counters with Luis Castillo (0-1, 1.42) who has given up just two runs over his first 12.2 innings of work. Castillo though has perhaps been a bit "lucky" considering he's walked seven and hit a batter over that small sample size.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well by Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in 25 of its last 41 following a one run loss, while Cincinnati has seen the total go "over" in seven of its last eight off six straight losses vs. division rivals. This number is a little low, play the "over."

Marlins/Reds OVER

9* play