The set-up: Arizona enters having lost three straight after last night's 2-1 loss to the Friars, but I think this line could easily be a lot larger because of what I feel to be a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what this price is trying to lead us to believe.

The pitchers: The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Matt Strahm (0-2, 7.04 ERA), who gave up five runs off eight hits over 2 2/3-s innings in a loss to Arizona on April 1st. Note that he's 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in seven career appearances vs. the Diamondbacks.

The home side goes with Merrill Kelly (1-1, 2.57) who gave up five hits and three runs over six innings in a win over the Padres on April 1st. Kelly comes in off a hard-luck 1-0 loss to Boston, going eight innings and allowing four hits and one run while striking out nine and walking none.

The pick: All things considered, I believe this line could/should easily be much larger. Play on the desperate home side.

Arizona Diamondbacks

10* play