The set-up: San Jose took Game 1, but the Knights bounced back and earned the coveted "split" at the Shark Tank in Game 2. Now back home, few teams enjoy a bigger "home ice advantage" than the Golden Knights and I look for them to indeed take advantage here. San Jose went just 3-9 down the stretch of the regular season and it's now just 4-10 in its last 14. Sharks' goalie Martin Jones was 14-12 with a 3.14 GAA on the road. Overall San Jose was 21-20 on the road this season, averaging 3.44 goals and allowing 3.44 in those contests. Knights' net minder Marc Andre Fleury is 18-15 with a 2.40 GAA at home. Overall Vegas was 24-17 at home, averaging 3.20 goals and allowing 2.41 in those contests.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vegas is 26-8 in its last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, while the Sharks are only 2-5 in their last seven in Las Vegas. Lay the reasonable price.

VEGAS Golden Knights

10* play