The set-up: I think the Flames are going to bounce back here with a solid win on the road and tie this series up at two. Flames' goaltender Mike Smith stopped 50 of 56 shots in the Game 3 setback. Calgary only mustered 29 of its own, but Smith is a difference maker here in my opinion. The veteran has a 2.87 GAA through the first three games, while Avs' net minder Philipp Grubauer has a 2.24 GAA over his last two games.

The pick: Calgary dominated the Pacific and its strength was its play on the road. After its big offensive outburst in Game 3, I expect the Avs' to come back down to Earth here. Additionally note that Calgary is 16-7 (+8.9 units) this season after allowing four goals or more, while Colorado is just 11-20 (-12.2 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous game.

Calgary Flames

10* play