The set-up: Do or die for the No. 1 seed. Colorado leads 3-1 and if Calgary doesn't find a way to win this one, it'll become the second top seed in the Western Conference in three years to be ousted in the first round of the playoffs. Philipp Grubauer managed a Game 2 win for the Avs in Calgary, but overall he's just 1-2-0 North of the border. "We're not done yet," Flames' captain Mark Giordano to the Calgary Sun. "We have a big home game coming up and then get it back here."

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Colorado is still just 18-27 (-6.5 units) vs. teams with winning records, while Calgary is 23-15 (+4.9 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. With the home town crowd behind them, I expect the Flames to step up and produce their best effort of this series. Look for the Avs to pack up their tents early as they head home for Game 6.

Calgary Flames

10* play