The set-up: These teams split a double-header yesterday, with the Tribe taking an 8-4 win in the first game and the Braves rallying late for an 8-7 win in the second. I like the Indians to bounce back in the rubber match tonight though. So far Atlanta pitcher Max Fried has been exemplary, but I think he runs into a buzz saw here vs. this red hot Indians' offense. He'll also have his hands full with vs. his counterpart Shane Bieber.

The pitchers: Fried, who is 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA who has so far thrown three straight strong outings, faces a difficult task throwing opposite Bieber, who is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Bieber most recently gave up one run over six innings in a win over he M's on Tuesday.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is still only 37-41 (-2.8 units) on the road when the money line in the contest is set in the -125 to +125 range, while Cleveland is 5-1 (+3.2 unit) as a home favorite already this year.

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