The set-up: All things considered, I think this line could/should in fact be much larger. The Dodgers go with Rich Hill, while the Pirates counter with Trevor Williams.

The pitchers: Hill was 11-5 with a 3.66 ERA last year and he's made ten career starts vs. Pittsburgh, going 4-2 with a 3.28 ERA.

Williams is 1-1 with a 2.59 ERA and while the Pirates have had success when he's taken the mound this season, note that he's 0-1 with a ballooned 6.43 ERA in three career starts vs. LA.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is just 52-83 (-11.4 units) as a road underdog, while LA is 11-4 as a home fav this year. Lay the price with confidence.

LA Dodgers

9* play