The set-up: The Stars and Blues are tied at two games apiece as we head into Game 5. So far Dallas has averaged 3.1 GPG in the playoffs, while allowing 2.3. St. Louis has averaged 2.9 goals and allowed 2.7. These teams are very evenly matched and to be honest, I think I could easily write a convincing argument for the Stars to win this one as well. For arguments sake, let's call the goaltenders a "wash." Jordan Binnginton and Ben Bishop both carried their respective teams to the playoffs this year. The difference comes in the numbers/trends tonight.

The pick: As take it for what you will, but Dallas is just 13-17 (-6.6 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while St. Louis is 19-9 (+6.8 units) after allowing four or more goals. Consider the home side in this one.

1* FREE PLAY ST. LOUIS BLUES