The set-up: After yesterday's 6-2 defeat, I like the home side to bounce back with its "ace" on the mound. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Chris Archer, while the D-Backs counter with Zack Greinke.

The pitchers: Archer (1-2, 4.33) returns to face his old team. Archer has been on the DL since April, he'd last five up six runs off six hits over four innings in a 6-2 loss to the Dodgers.

Greinke (5-1, 3.16 ERA) comes into this one on top form, having gone 5-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his past eight starts. He's also 9-4 with a 4.17 ERA in 14 career starts vs. the Bucs.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is just 38-61 (-15 units) the L2 years as a road dog between +100 and +150, while Arizona is 5-2 this year as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This one has home side blowout written all over it. Lay the price.

Arizona Diamondbacks

10* play