>> 63-43 MLB YTD << MLB LATE NIGHT SHOWDOWN
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. San Diego,
Money Line: -128.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Result: Loss
The set-up: This is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. The visitors hand the ball to ace Aaron Nola, while the home side counters with the volatile Eric Lauer.

The pitchers: Nola (6-0, 4.18 ERA) is 4-0 with a 2.96 ERA over his last four starts.

Lauer (4-4, 4.45) has worked 58 2/3's innings this year, giving up 31 runs off 60 hits. Lauer is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA over his last three starts, but I still think he'll struggle here vs. the hard-hitting visiting side.

The pick: The Phillies are atop the National League East, while San Diego has lost five of seven, including two straight. Note that Nola is 1-0 with a 2.15 ERA in two starts at Petco as well. All things considered, I think this is the very definition of "great line value." Lay the price.

Philadelphia Phillies

8* play