The set-up: Detroit managed to pull of the major upset in Game 1 of this three game series last night, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is in store on Wednesday. The revenge-minded visiting side hands the ball to Charlie Morton, while the home side counters with Spencer Turnbull.

The pitchers: Morton (6-0, 2.54 ERA) has won three of his past four starts for his team. Most recently he held the hard-hitting Twins to two runs over seven innings while also striking out six.

Turnbull (3-4, 2.84) comes in off a win over the Braves on Friday, giving up two runs over six innings.

The pick: Note that Tampa is still 18-8 on the road this year and 21-9 in all "night" games. And note the Detroit is still only 3-11 as a home underdog and just 9-17 at home overall. Previous to yesterday's win the Tigers had lost ten straight at home. Look for Tampa to get back on track after yesterday's setback.

TB Rays

10* play

BONUS: The set-up: Momentum. In sports it can be a very real, almost tangible thing. Even without Kevin Durant and Kevin Mooney, I think the Warriors are going to ride the wave of emotion at home and come out "guns a blazing" in the first half of Game 3. Toronto dominated in Game 1 and it appeared as if it would roll to another victory in Game 2, but then the second half started. Golden State made some big adjustments and it would go on to easily destroy the Raptors in the second half. And now I think that the defending champs carry that momentum over at home (at least in the first half!)

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Toronto is just 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight playoff games as an underdog in the five to 10.5 points range, while Golden State is 35-17 ATS in its last 52 playoff games as a favorite in the same points range. For all the reasons listed above, lay the price and expect the home side to roll to a SU victory in the first half.

Golden State Warriors (1st Half Moneyline)

10* play