The set-up: Milwaukee has been one of the hardest hitting teams this year and in this clear mismatch on the mound, I expect the visitors to take full advantage (note that Milwaukee ranks first in the NL in home runs, while San Francisco ranks next to last in almost every offensive category.) The Brewers go with Zach Davies, while the home side goes with the volatile Drew Pomeranz.

The pitchers: Davies (7-0, 2.41 ERA) most recently allowed three runs over five innings in a sub-par outing vs. the Pirates last time out, but those types of performances have truly been few and far between.

Pomeranz (1-6, 7.16) comes in off his best outing of the year vs. the Dodgers, going five scoreless. He received a no-decision for his effort, but performances like that have been few and far between for the struggling southpaw the last two years.

The pick: Davies owns a 1.64 ERA in two starts vs. the Giants, while Pomeranz has an 8.00 ERA in two career outings vs. the Brewers. Lay the price.

Milwaukee Brewers (vs. San Francisco Giants)

8* play