The set-up: Suffice it to say, after last night's meltdown in the ninth inning, I look for the Tribe to bounce back in this favorable spot on Wednesday afternoon. Previous to last night's victory, the Royals had lost seven straight in this series. The home side hands the ball to Trevor Bauer, while the visitors go with Jakob Junis.

The pitchers: Junis (4-6, 5.18 ERA) has looked better of late after a horrible start to the 2019 campaign, but when he faced the Indians on April 14th he was shelled for five runs off eight hits over six innings (overall he's 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA in seven career match ups with the Indians.)

Bauer (5-6, 3.69) comes in off a terrible outing vs. the Tigers on Friday, but he owns a sharp 3.01 ERA in 14 career appearances vs. the Royals.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but KC is still just 8-18 this year as an underdog of +150 or higher, while Cleveland is 12-5 as a home fav in the -150 to -200 range. I'm laying the 1.5 runs for the pick-em price and expecting a decisive rout from start to finish.

Cleveland Indians (-1.5)

10* play